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Can you plot a four-quadrant graph showing rushing efficiency vs. production for the top 20 NFL rushers by total yards?
I've created a comprehensive four-quadrant analysis of rushing efficiency vs production for the top 20 rushers by total yards in the 2024 NFL season.
Result Screenshot
How often did teams cover the spread coming off a bye in the last five years?
Teams coming off a bye week covered the spread just 33.3% of the time (52/156 games) from 2020-2024—a consistent underperformance.
  • Cover rate never exceeded 40% in any year (range: 25%-40%)
  • Home teams: 39.4% cover rate; Away teams: 28.2%
  • Most weeks cluster between 25-40% cover rates
This persistent trend shows sportsbooks overvalue the "bye week advantage"—contrarian bettors may find value betting against it.
Create a data visualization showing which players Vegas was most wrong about their main o/u receiving yard line in 2024.
Top 3 Vegas Misses (Receiving Yards O/U, 2024):
  • Alec Pierce (Colts): Vegas was 23.3 yards too low
  • Ladd McConkey (Chargers): Vegas was 23.2 yards too low
  • Jerry Jeudy (Browns): Vegas was 22.6 yards too low
See the chart for more details on where Vegas missed most in 2024.
Result Screenshot
On average, how much did the home team beat the away team by in 2024?
Based on my analysis of the 2024 NFL season, home teams beat away teams by an average of 2.28 points.
  • Home teams outscored away teams by an average of 2.28 points per game
  • The median point differential was 2.00 points, showing consistency in this advantage
  • Home teams won 54.7% of games
  • Most games were close: 64 home wins and 61 away wins were decided by 1-6 points
  • Home blowouts (≥14 points) were more common: 57 for home teams vs 40 for away teams
This moderate home field advantage is typical for the NFL and can make a real difference in close games.
Who are the biggest fantasy football sleepers and breakout candidates for 2025?
Here are my top sleeper and breakout picks for 2025 fantasy football, based on 2024 data and trends:
  • Brandon Aiyuk (WR, SF): Elite talent, injury masked upside in 2024
  • Nick Chubb (RB, CLE): Comeback candidate after injury, RB1 upside if healthy
  • T.J. Hockenson (TE, MIN): High volume, zero TDs in 2024—due for positive regression
  • Rome Odunze (WR, CHI): New coach could unlock big jump in production
  • Tank Bigsby (RB, JAX): Could take over lead role, already getting red zone work
All are undervalued after disappointing 2024 seasons, but have major breakout potential for 2025.